A key capability of modern neural networks is their capacity to simultaneously learn underlying rules and memorize specific facts or exceptions. Yet, theoretical understanding of this dual capability remains limited. We introduce the Rules-and-Facts (RAF) model, a minimal solvable setting that enables precise characterization of this phenomenon by bridging two classical lines of work in the statistical physics of learning: the teacher-student framework for generalization and Gardner-style capacity analysis for memorization. In the RAF model, a fraction $1 - \varepsilon$ of training labels is generated by a structured teacher rule, while a fraction $\varepsilon$ consists of unstructured facts with random labels. We characterize when the learner can simultaneously recover the underlying rule - allowing generalization to new data - and memorize the unstructured examples. Our results quantify how overparameterization enables the simultaneous realization of these two objectives: sufficient excess capacity supports memorization, while regularization and the choice of kernel or nonlinearity control the allocation of capacity between rule learning and memorization. The RAF model provides a theoretical foundation for understanding how modern neural networks can infer structure while storing rare or non-compressible information.

This paper shows how metric learning can be used with Nadaraya-Watson (NW) kernel regression. Compared with standard approaches, such as bandwidth selection, we show how metric learning can significantly reduce the mean square error (MSE) in kernel regression, particularly for high-dimensional data. We propose a method for efficiently learning a good metric function based upon analyzing the performance of the NW estimator for Gaussian-distributed data. A key feature of our approach is that the NW estimator with a learned metric uses information from both the global and local structure of the training data. Theoretical and empirical results confirm that the learned metric can considerably reduce the bias and MSE for kernel regression even when the data are not confined to Gaussian.

In this paper, we show that the smoothness of the estimators, and not the dimension, is the key: benign overfitting is possible if and only if the estimator's derivatives are large enough.

While deep learning (DL) models have demonstrated impressive performance over a range of complicated tasksanddatamodalities, ithasremained difficulttoquantify theuncertainty fortheir predictions.

Detecting unobserved confounders is crucial for reliable causal inference in observational studies. Existing methods require either linearity assumptions or multiple heterogeneous environments, limiting applicability to nonlinear single-environment settings. To bridge this gap, we propose Kernel Regression Confounder Detection (KRCD), a novel method for detecting unobserved confounding in nonlinear observational data under single-environment conditions. KRCD leverages reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces to model complex dependencies. By comparing standard and higherorder kernel regressions, we derive a test statistic whose significant deviation from zero indicates unobserved confounding. Theoretically, we prove two key results: First, in infinite samples, regression coefficients coincide if and only if no unobserved confounders exist. Second, finite-sample differences converge to zero-mean Gaussian distributions with tractable variance. Extensive experiments on synthetic benchmarks and the Twins dataset demonstrate that KRCD not only outperforms existing baselines but also achieves superior computational efficiency.

In practice, encoding invariances into models improves sample complexity. In this work, we study this phenomenon from a theoretical perspective. In particular, we provide minimax optimal rates for kernel ridge regression on compact manifolds, with a target function that is invariant to a group action on the manifold. Our results hold for any smooth compact Lie group action, even groups of positive dimension.

Recent research shows that the dynamics of an infinitely wide neural network (NN) trained by gradient descent can be characterized by Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) \citep{jacot2018neural}. Under the squared loss, the infinite-width NN trained by gradient descent with an infinitely small learning rate is equivalent to kernel regression with NTK \citep{arora2019exact}. However, the equivalence is only known for ridge regression currently \citep{arora2019harnessing}, while the equivalence between NN and other kernel machines (KMs), e.g.